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Will a NATO or EU nation declare a national emergency due to AI before 2026?
Basic
24
Ṁ4822025
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By AI, we mean: any threat, disaster, or attack that is substantially of AI/ML origin, control, influence - or is at the heart of cause for declaring an emergency.
This could include a major data breach or loss of digital services due to an attack using AI. It could include a AI drone swarm attack. It could include prolific creation and spread of misinformation generated by AI.
The AI involved does not be controlled by a person, state, or organisation. It does not need to be a sophisticated model, architecture, etc. for this question to resolve.
To resolve, a nation in NATO or the EU at the time must declare a state of emergency due to a threat, disaster or attack substantively caused, powered or enabled by AI.
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