
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing)
7
Ṁ110Ṁ651Dec 31
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
77% chance
Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?
49% chance
Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028
43% chance
By 2030 will regulations or laws make it prohibitively difficult to develop AI models in the United States?
20% chance
Will the US implement information security requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?
88% chance
Significant legal restrictions on AI in the USA by June 2027
82% chance
When will a national law be in force in the US imposing safety requirements on the training/deployment of AI models?
If Biden is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
25% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
24% chance
Will the US implement testing and evaluation requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?
82% chance