Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?
7
170Ṁ98
Dec 31
46%
chance

An institutional funder is one run by a regional, national or international body rather than a foundation or company. Arbitrarily this question also resolves positively for the Gates Foundation but only that foundation.

Therefore orgs which might resolve this question positively:

  • The World Bank

  • The UK Government

  • The UN WFP

  • The Gates Foundation

Orgs which will not resolve this question positively:

  • Any non-Gates Foundation foundation

  • Google

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