![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FQZFt3Kl7Za.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D8fb1e159-95a0-45a5-93a4-8d8fa310a6fe&w=3840&q=75)
Will a new UK party (including Reform) gain over 1% of the national vote share in the next UK election?
Mini
23
Ṁ919resolved Jul 9
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes Reform or any new parties.
Does not include ChangeUK
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ70 | |
2 | Ṁ42 | |
3 | Ṁ39 | |
4 | Ṁ35 | |
5 | Ṁ23 |
Sort by:
@Kraalnaxx There was a time when it looked like we were getting a May election, there’s a few markets like this that need extending. Best to just tag the creator and ask.
@NathanpmYoung can you extend to end of January please, to cover for the worst case-election date?
Related questions
Related questions
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK does?
21% chance
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
17% chance
Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll by the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will a UK party that doesn't yet exist gain over 50k members before the next UK General Election?
10% chance
Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll by the end of 2024?
4% chance