Will a new UK party (including Reform) gain over 1% of the national vote share in the next UK election?
23
82
390
May 6
89%
chance

Includes Reform or any new parties.

Does not include ChangeUK

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Why is this closing so soon? I assume this means the next general election.

@Kraalnaxx There was a time when it looked like we were getting a May election, there’s a few markets like this that need extending. Best to just tag the creator and ask.

@NathanpmYoung can you extend to end of January please, to cover for the worst case-election date?