Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2030?
6
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2025
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How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2023?
480M
Will a GiveWell report that a non-Openphil donor has given $100M in (Jan 22 $) in one financial year up to financial year 2025?
46% chance
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
33% chance
Will Manifund give out another loan of size > 100k USD to another person/organization before the end of 2025?
66% chance
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2021?
470M
How much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2022?
490M
How much will GiveWell raise from donors other than Open Philanthropy in 2023, in millions of dollars?
453
If GiveWell exists, how much will GiveWell report for total money moved in 2030?
840M
Will GiveWell be funding constrained a majority of the time until 2030?
In 2040, will Holden Karnofsky think that donating Open Philanthropy's money so quickly was a tragic mistake?
16% chance