Which of the following promises will be in the Labour party Manifesto?
32
2.3kṀ4412resolved Jul 22
Resolved
YESNational energy company
Resolved
YESReform non-dom tax status
Resolved
YESReduce NHS waiting lists
Resolved
YESMaintain the triple lock
Resolved
YESCrack down on tax avoidance
Resolved
YESNew towns
Resolved
YESMaintain fracking ban
Resolved
YESNot raise VAT
Resolved
YESAid 0.7% of GNI
Resolved
N/AOther
Resolved
N/AImplement (any) recommendations from the Angiolini Inquiry Report
Resolved
NORemove cliffs in tax system
Resolved
NOReduce class sizes
Resolved
NONet Zero in 2030
Resolved
NOElectrification of rail lines in North
Resolved
NOEase nuclear planning
Resolved
NOPromote 'Green' Steel
Resolved
NOPermit fracking
Resolved
NOReforming/repealing psychoactive substances bill
Resolved
NORecognise a Palestinian state on any specific timetable or linked to any specific conditions
Answers must be conceptually the same. If the manifest promises to lower class sizes, "reduce classes sizes" will resolve yes. "improve education" will not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ507 | |
| 2 | Ṁ95 | |
| 3 | Ṁ84 | |
| 4 | Ṁ56 | |
| 5 | Ṁ45 |
People are also trading
Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?
Will Labour introduce a wealth tax?
5% chance
Will the UK build >1.5m new homes by the end of Q2 2029
37% chance
UK Labour builds how many homes by July 4, 2029?
1.2m
The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years
36% chance
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales?
Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
In 2040, the UK Labour Party has/is … [complete the sentence]
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
47% chance
Sort by:
What is meant here by new towns? I don't think there are any plans for New Towns (a la Milton Keynes), just investing in the towns and regional cities. Is that what is meant?
New towns, national energy, this is innovative, anything actually behind it beyond just manifold being creative in making questions?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Which 2024 Labour Manifesto Commitments will be achieved in this Parliament?
Will Labour introduce a wealth tax?
5% chance
Will the UK build >1.5m new homes by the end of Q2 2029
37% chance
UK Labour builds how many homes by July 4, 2029?
1.2m
The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years
36% chance
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales?
Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
In 2040, the UK Labour Party has/is … [complete the sentence]
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
47% chance