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MANIFOLD
Ukraine will hold any territory in Crimea according to the ISW map by 2024 Jan 1
15
Ṁ270Ṁ50k
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
NO

Any territory, according the ISW map in crimea. "Claimed Ukraine Counteroffensives". That's the light blue, not the blue shaded.

https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375

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predictedNO

@NathanpmYoung pretty sure this resolves NO now, checked the map on Jan 1

predictedNO

does the "reported ukrainian partisan warfare" shade count?

  1. Could you please more precisely define what it means to hold territory according to ISW map? Which way should the territory be shaded?

  2. Somehow the market closes Oct 10 despite the title saying "by 2024 Jan".