There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027 | Manifold

There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027

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I'd like a little expansion on judging criteria for this one, even if it's just a general approach rather than a specific benchmark

How is this measured? How better e.g. Is GPT-4 from GPT-3.5?

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Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

Who will be ahead in the AI/LLM war by the end of 2024?

Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?

Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?

Will openAI have the most accurate LLM across most benchmarks by EOY 2024?

Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?

Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?

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