
The most significant technology created by or with AI that's publicly available by Jan 2030? [resolves to Twitter poll]
3
280Ṁ232029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
66%
14%
AGI
20%
GPT-7
Have a twitter poll across the top 4 answers, decided by me (probably the biggest 4 unless it's being gamed)
Must be:
Publicly available
Cannot be:
Just the model number of an LLM (instead could be "text generation" or "agency")
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2040?
Will AI be considered safe in 2030? (resolves to poll)
72% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2030?
Which of the following capabilities will AI have before 2030? [add your own]
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
31% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
43% chance
Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?
91% chance
Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?
84% chance
Will an AI be solely responsible for an AI breakthrough by the end of 2030?
74% chance
Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?
31% chance