The probability of "extremely bad outcomes e.g., human extinction" from AGI will be >5% in next survey of AI experts

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?

Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2030?

Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2035?

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027?

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

[Carlini questions] Thousands of deaths / billions of dollars in damage caused by AI systems within 3 days by 2027