
Before 2032, how much will be spent lobbying against regulation of General AI systems? (2024$, best guess)
3
แน2kแน2.8k2032
22%
Less than $1bn
29%
$1bn - $10bn
29%
$10bn - $50bn
11%
$50bn - $100bn
9%
More than $100bn
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
24% chance
Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
71% chance
Will much AI research be nationalized by 2027?
15% chance
There will be an anti-AI super PAC that raises at least $20 million in 2026
38% chance
Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?
12% chance
Will non-profit funding for AI safety reach 100 billion US dollars in a year before 2030?
38% chance
Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)
23% chance
Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
20% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
40% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
33% chance