AI will commonly be used to code simple apps by the end of the following years:
20
1.1kṀ12362029
22%
2024
48%
2025
17%
2026
6%
2027
4%
2028
3%
Normal people will type a simple description and usable web app will come out the end. Like Sora for video but coding.
Prompts might include:
A pomodoro timer
A kanban board
A calendar booking app
A way to search manifold markets
Resolve the first year to which this is the case.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Is this market talking about the capability existing, or people finding it valuable and having a significant number of people doing it.
My position is that most simple app ideas have already been created, and people will always find the barrier of using AI to create a new app to be higher than simply searching.
@DanHomerick I think it's like sora. People can unambiguously make short videos from a prompt. That isn't true of apps.
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