AI tools will cause mass casualties or $500mn harm before 2029 such as would have been covered under SB 1047. | Manifold

AI tools will cause mass casualties or $500mn harm before 2029 such as would have been covered under SB 1047.

12

Ṁ1kṀ4.2k

2029

23%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Both the incident and the model causing the incident need to have been covered.

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AI Governance & Policy

Existential Risk

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so.. if everyone's dead how does this market resolve?

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