Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?
12
62
Ṁ515Ṁ300
2030
85%
chance
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In 2022, the Williams Center released a report about the number of people who identified as Trans in the United States. Using data from the CDC's Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance Survey, they concluded that .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender.
I will resolve this market yes if the next Williams Center demographic report on trans people finds that greater than .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender. I will resolve this market as no if the percentage is less than .6%. I will resolve this market N/A if the Williams Center never issues another report. (The last report before this one came out in 2016-2017.)
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