When will Republicans next win a 3/5ths supermajority in the US Senate
5
Ṁ280Ṁ8232037
0.6%
2024
1%
2026
5%
2028
8%
2030
8%
2032
8%
2034
65%
2036, or later or never
5%
This market resolves to the year that Republicans win at least 3/5ths of the seats in the US Senate. For the purposes of this market, senators who caucus with Republicans count as Republicans. Therefore, this market will not resolve until it is clear which senators are caucusing with which party.
The other category contains all non-election years in case the appointment or special election of a senator tips the balance.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
32% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
33% chance
Will Republicans win a Majority of Toss up Senate seats in 2026? [Sabato's Crystal Ball]
43% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
31% chance
Number of Republican Senate seats after 2026 Midterms?
Will Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
35% chance
Will Republicans win a Majority of Toss up Senate seats in 2026? [Cook Political Report]
40% chance
In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate?
When will Democrats next win a 3/5ths supermajority in the US Senate?