Same as a previous market: https://manifold.markets/NBAP/which-weight-loss-milestones-will-i

I spent a couple of months bulking, and I am planning on cutting weight again. I have no firm commitment to go until any particular milestone or even until the end of the year; I'll go until it gets too hard or I think my preferences would be better satisfied by stopping. Ideally I would like to see some lower ab definition, which I did not see previously at 168 lbs.

In order for a milestone to be reached, my weekly average (measured Monday-Sunday, posted on the following Monday) must be equal to or below the milestone; if I dip below a milestone for a single daily weigh-in but the weekly average doesn't meet the milestone, it doesn't count. Once a milestone is reached, it resolves YES immediately; it doesn't matter if my weight then rebounds to above the milestone.

On January 1st, any unmet milestones immediately resolve NO.

I will be betting, but I will only buy YES shares, and I will never sell them.

You can ask any relevant questions in the comments and I will do my best to answer them.

2024-08-26: 178.6 lbs

2024-09-02: 178.3 lbs

2024-09-09: 180.7 lbs