Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will I be below 265 pounds by January 11, 2027? (Today: 318.8 pounds)
5
Ṁ100Ṁ89
2027
58%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if I weigh strictly below 265.0 pounds at any point on or before January 11, 2027. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

To resolve the market, I will provide verification (such as a photo of my scale or a screenshot of a smart scale tracking app) showing a weight below 265.0 lbs. If no weight reading below 265.0 lbs is achieved and documented by the end of January 11, 2027, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

  • Starting Weight: 318.8 lbs (as of June 1, 2026)

  • Target Weight: < 265.0 lbs

  • Total Weight Loss Required: 53.9 lbs

  • Timeframe: ~32 weeks (from June 1, 2026, to January 11, 2027)

  • Required Weekly Progress: ~1.7 lbs per week

A weight loss rate of 1 to 2 pounds per week is generally considered a safe and achievable pace by health experts.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!