As a New Year's resolution, I decided to lose some weight. My plan is to lose weight for up to six months (January 1-July 1).

As some background, I have lost a significant amount of weight several times in the past. The most weight I've ever lost in a single attempt was 90 lbs, from 265 to 175, over a year. My lowest-ever adult weight (weekly average, not daily measurement) was 169.4.

In order for a milestone to be reached, my weekly average (measured Monday-Sunday, posted on the following Monday) must be equal to or below the milestone; if I dip below a milestone for a single daily weigh-in but the weekly average doesn't meet the milestone, it doesn't count. Once a milestone is reached, it resolves YES immediately; it doesn't matter if my weight then rebounds to above the milestone.

On July 1st, any unmet milestones immediately resolve NO.

I will be betting, but I will only buy YES shares, and I will never sell them.

You can ask any relevant questions in the comments and I will do my best to answer them.

I am in my 30s. I am 6'0" (technically 5' 11.75", but you can pry that last quarter inch from my cold, dead hands). I started this diet at 194.6 lbs on January 1st (weekly average from the previous week). I will update this description every Monday with my average weight from the previous week.

2024-01-01: 194.6 lbs

2024-01-08: 192.5 lbs

2024-01-15: 190.1 lbs

2024-01-22: 191.3 lbs

2024-01-29: 190.8 lbs

2024-02-05: 191.3 lbs

2024-02-12: 187.7 lbs

2024-02-19: 187.1 lbs

2024-02-26: 186.2 lbs

2024-03-04: 183.6 lbs

2024-03-11: 182.3 lbs

2024-03-18: 180.5 lbs

2024-03-25: 178.6 lbs

2024-04-01: 177.7 lbs

2024-04-08: 177.3 lbs

2024-04-15: 177.1 lbs

2024-04-22: 174.3 lbs

2024-04-29: 173.9 lbs

2024-05-06: 172.7 lbs

2024-05-13: 172.9 lbs

2024-05-20: 171.5 lbs

2024-05-27: 172.3 lbs

2024-06-03: 170.7 lbs

2024-06-10: 169.7 lbs

2024-06-17: 168.6 lbs

2024-06-24: 169.4 lbs

2024-07-01: 168.2 lbs