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MANIFOLD
Will I be below 275 pounds by January 1, 2027? (Today: 322 pounds)
5
Ṁ100Ṁ33
Dec 31
59%
chance

By midnight on January 1, 2027 or before, if I reach 275 pounds, then we have a winner!

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if I weigh strictly below 275.0 pounds at any point on or before January 1, 2027, at 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

Resolution will be based on my honest self-report, preferably supported by a photo of the scale showing the weight.

Background

  • Starting Weight: 322 lbs (as of late May 2026)

  • Target Weight: < 275 lbs (Total loss of 47+ lbs required)

  • Timeline: Approximately 7 months (approx. 31 weeks) until January 1, 2027.

  • Required Rate of Loss: To hit this goal, I need to lose an average of approximately 1.5 lbs per week (about 6.7 lbs per month). Health organizations generally consider a weight loss rate of 1 to 2 lbs per week to be safe and sustainable.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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