According to this Ars Technica article, Blue Origin is planning an uncrewed flight of the New Shepard suborbital rocket in October, over a year after an anomaly destroyed a booster in flight.
This market gives them all the way until the end of the year.
Resolves YES if a New Shepard rocket launches to at least 1km altitude before market close. Resolves NO if this does not happen before market close, or if Blue Origin makes a public announcement that rules out the possibility of a launch before market close.
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@jpoet Hm, I guess the license was not needed? Or they got another one?
Always a risk of misunderstanding the relevance of such information, enjoy my mana if they do launch!
@JoshuaWilkes There are dates listed on launch schedules, e.g. https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/schedule/ and https://everydayastronaut.com/upcoming-launches/. However, some further digging shows that these might just be placeholders, which is a shame.
@chrisjbillington Yeah, this is what I managed to dig up when I was looking. But I'll take the fifty percent that these are not up to date given there is zero chatter about them.