Will Claude 3 outrank GPT-4-1106-preview on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard?
57
2.1kṀ44k
resolved Mar 21
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if any Claude 3 model outranks GPT-4-1106-preview at any point within two weeks of first being listed, i.e. if users prefer Claude 3 responses to GPT-4 responses at any point.

https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard

For a version that includes any GPT-4 model released during that time, see here: https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/will-claude-3-outrank-gpt4-on-the-l

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