Will Claude have a higher Elo than GPT next time LMSYS updates their rankings?
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resolved Mar 26
Resolved
YES

The spiritual successor to

without the uncertainty over whether the rankings will update in time.

Resolves YES if, on the next update to the LMSYS rankings (as determined by the "Last updated" field), any Claude variant has a strictly higher Elo rating than all GPT-4 variants.

The close-time will be extended as necessary.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Ended up being very close, but Claude squeaked in with the win!

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