Will SpaceX have launched 3 Starships to space by 2024-09-13?

Question

Criteria for "launching to space" are as follows (the same as this market):

Any Starships that make it over 100 km in altitude are counted, even if they don't make it to orbit.

Launches that don't make it over 100 km don't count.

If the same Starship is launched twice, then it counts twice.

If a Starship briefly makes it below 100km and then rises above it again, for example through a skip-reentry, this does not count twice as it's not an additional launch.

If a Superheavy is launched over 100km by itself without a Starship, then it counts as a Starship.

Update 2023-11-18: Ok, seems the launch today made it to around 148km, which is over 100km. This market will therefore resolve based on whether 100 km launches happen twice more by 2024-09-13.

Update 2024-03-14: Launch today again made it over 100km. Only one more launch required.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Jun 13, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.