A duplicate of this market, with a different date.
For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.
I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.
/Mqrius/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte
/BoltonBailey/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-test-583a5ac08305
/Mqrius/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-b31d369afae1
/BoltonBailey/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-test-22cb61e371bb
/Mqrius/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-723cf472c5c1
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-883c2b0587e9
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I meant local time but I'm probably asleep at that point so I'll resolve now. If they launch on a Saturday evening with no closures then that'd be a bit of a surprise :)
Markets for each day of next week:
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-883c2b0587e9
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-0becacaa1884
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-1bf5c0002512
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-bd3fb4f7bd63
/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-a5458089285c
Might still happen at a later date after the 10th, but not sure if it will be before the 16th. The 17th is the current rumour.
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