Will Gukesh Dommaraju beat Ding Liren in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ2420
Jan 1
81%
chance

It looks like the chess WC is back on.

Due to start on November 25th in Singapore.
https://deepnewz.com/chess/ding-liren-to-defend-title-against-gukesh-fide-world-championship-starting-25-6bbcc874

For those who don't follow chess closely
Ding won the world championship a while ago, and hasn't been in great form recently

Gukesh has been crushing it -- including recently at Chess Olympiad which India won in dominant fashion

Betting sites have Gukesh between 3-1 and 8-1 favorite...

Basically most people think Gukesh can't lose, and Ding can't win.

However -- both are top 2700+ ELO players. Ding has slide to #23 in the world (to Gukesh's #5) but that's still only a 50 point difference.
https://2700chess.com/

Also as the defending champion Ding wins if the match ends in a tie.

Hence the market is if Gukesh can win. Ding needs only a tied match to hold on to his championship.

Gukesh is also still a teenager. If he wins, he'd be the youngest champion ever, beating Gary Kasparov's record (age 20 / 21 I think). Maybe the nerves will get to him, especially if Ding turns out to be tougher than he expects...


We will post updates and more information here, and make this a Premium market.

Let us know if you want to see more markets on individual games, margin of victory, etc...

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Also as the defending champion Ding wins if the match ends in a tie.

Hence the market is if Gukesh can win. Ding needs only a tied match to hold on to his championship.

I don't think this is true.

@TotalVerb Whatever you think if the match ends in a draw this resolves NO

@Moscow25 Sure, but that is a vacuous statement as the match cannot draw.

@Moscow25 You're embarrassing yourself, and as a Russian, I wish you were not Russian.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules