Predict my 2026 manifold journey

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ2.9k

Dec 31

76%

I get demoted from master once

90%

My mana net worth exceeds 1 million at any point in the year

15%

My mana net worth exceeds 2 million at any point in the year

24%

I lose my daily betting streak

10%

I become inactive (no trades for a month)

Predict my 2026 journey on manifold. Will not bet besides setting initial odds

Resolution Criteria

Each answer resolves YES or NO based on whether the specified event occurs at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).

Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Net worth includes both the creator's bots and their main account combined.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will I spend money on manifold in 2026?

54% chance

Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?

32% chance

Will I be active on Manifold at the end of 2026?

67% chance

Will @BTE own/run Manifold at the end of 2026?

10% chance

Most profitable Manifold user at end of 2026

What will be my position on the Manifold profit leaderboard at the end of 2026?

40.3

Will any of my questions be in Manifold Predictle by EOY 2027?

33% chance

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Is the net worth your bots plus your main account?

@JasonMendoza2008 yes

over 50k with mochi and rice

@Mochi rice an gluten officially classified as bots

@Mochi 280 Mochi +232 from rice. Resolve YES

bought Ṁ200 YES

@Mochi I think can resolve, nevermind, jsut scrolled down. How can we assess your networth?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen yea I realize it’s hard to track my loans in my networth, but basically I won’t have another loan for a while and I already returned previous loan, so whenever my nw+rice nw exceeds 500k this can resolve YES

@Mochi does this resolve yes

@Cactus no a loan is not part of my networth

Technically I do have a bot account @Rice, but I may never make it compete in silicon league due to lack of league rewards. So this question can still resolve NO

does "profit more than 50k mana from a single market" include sum of profits from multiple choice or does it count each answer as an individual market?