11
161
255
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/10/24/california-dmv-suspends-cruises-self-driving-car-permits.html [link preview]
-40.0%
on

Any annoucement including a blog post or company/verifiable employee social media post is fine. Time ends at 00:00 on January 1, 2024, Pacific Time. Note that this market depends on a public announcement, so it still resolves to NO if 7 million miles are announced in 2024 even if those miles were achieved in 2023.

(Note that driverless miles are NOT the same as self-driving miles. The later includes safety driver miles)

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predicted NO

My estimate remains at 5,900,000 to 5,940,000 driverless miles for Cruise.

predicted NO

Cruise not Waymo lol (stupid manifold markets isn't showing the trades or comments)

Woops, this question was about Cruise, not waymo

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

https://waymo-blog.blogspot.com/2023/12/waymo-significantly-outperforms.html?m=1

"Waymo significantly outperforms comparable human benchmarks over 7+ million miles of rider-only driving"

Over 7 million rider only miles definitely means no safety driver to me.

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