Which AI model will win the Kaggle Game Arena Chess tournament?
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1.1kṀ23k
resolved Aug 8
100%99.0%
o3
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o4-mini
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DeepSeek-R1
0.2%
Gemini 2.5 Pro
0.1%
Claude Opus 4
0.3%
Grok 4
0.0%
Gemini 2.5 Flash
0.0%
Kimi K2
0.1%Other
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they should’ve done it in PGN format since that greatly increases the legal move rate (was like 99.9% with 3.5 turbo instruct) then have separate channels for commentary

instead of allowing 4 attempts and feedback if a move is illegal.

Not sure about the exact scaffold they’re using but it’s clearly leading to low quality chess when a model from over 2 years ago was 1800.

@ChinmayTheMathGuy I don't believe any model was ever 1800, but even those that do believe it - nothing has come close since

@FergusArgyll there was a site called parrot chess and it was pretty good. I would say around 11600 just from playing against it

@SophusCorry

11600

I assume that's a typo and you meant 1160? That's really not close to 1800

@FergusArgyll I would guess typo for 1600

Just a few more mistyped digits and eventually we'll get to 161660

@FergusArgyll ahahaha sorry i meant 1600

please extend until the event actually closes

@bashmaester thanks for the heads up!

if anyone wants to bet bigger volume ping me pls

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