The questions are related to the events happening after 24th of September 2025 up until end of 2029 unless the question is specifying a shorter deadline.

The events should be easily proven and based on public information and media coverage about Erika Kirk and/or Charlie Kirk.

Resolution criteria

• Scope: Each answer resolves independently to Yes/No based on publicly verifiable events dated on/after September 24, 2025 through December 31, 2029, unless the answer states a shorter deadline. Time references like “within 12 months/2 years/3 years” are measured from September 24, 2025 (i.e., by Sep 24, 2026/2027/2028). The funeral/memorial occurred September 21, 2025; this market intentionally starts after Sep 24. (newsweek.com)

• Evidence: Use primary, durable sources (official filings, organization press pages, major national outlets, Apple/Spotify show pages, publisher/retailer listings). Submit links when resolving.

• Name variants count: “Erika Kirk,” “Erika Frantzve,” or “Erika Lane Frantzve” are treated as the same person.

• Example resolution tests for common answers:

  • “She will release at least one book”: Yes if a book authored by her is commercially released (print or ebook) with an ISBN and a retailer/publisher page (e.g., Amazon/WorldCat/publisher site) dated within the window. No if only announced/preorder without release by the deadline.

  • “She will start a podcast channel”: Yes if a new podcast feed (distinct listing) launches after Sep 24, 2025 on a major platform (e.g., Apple Podcasts/Spotify) with at least one published episode; renaming/continuing her pre‑existing Midweek Rise Up feed does not count. (podcasts.apple.com)

  • “She will take Charlie’s place in public debates/public appearances”: Yes if TPUSA/venue bills her as the lead or replacement speaker for at least one of Charlie’s scheduled tour stops or as host of The Charlie Kirk Show, confirmed by TPUSA/event pages or national coverage. (people.com)

  • “She will run for political office in the next 2/3 years”: Yes if she files official candidacy (e.g., FEC Form 2 for federal; or state/local filing with the relevant election authority) by Sep 24, 2027 (2y) or Sep 24, 2028 (3y). Exploratory committees or statements of interest without candidacy filing resolve No. Reference: FEC candidate database and state filing portals (e.g., Arizona SOS). (fec.gov)

  • “She will be involved in national media coverage or controversy within 12 months”: Interpret objectively as Yes if at least two recognized U.S. national outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, NYT, WaPo, WSJ, CNN, Fox News, NBC, ABC, CBS, Bloomberg, Politico, The Hill, USA Today) publish articles naming “Erika Kirk” in the headline by Sep 24, 2026. No otherwise.

• Only use N/A if an answer is impossible to interpret/verify, is about private information with no public source, or incorrectly requires events before Sep 24, 2025.

Background

• Charlie Kirk was assassinated on September 10, 2025; a large memorial service was held September 21, 2025 at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ. (en.wikipedia.org)

• On September 18–19, 2025, TPUSA’s board named Erika Kirk CEO and chair; she pledged to continue his work. (cbsnews.com)

• Erika already hosts the Midweek Rise Up podcast (launched 2019), so “start a podcast” must mean a new show. (podcasts.apple.com)

Considerations

• Filing ≠ running: media reports or exploratory committees don’t count; official candidacy filings do (FEC/state portals). (fec.gov)

• For speaking-role claims, rely on TPUSA/event pages or mainstream coverage when she is explicitly billed as lead/replacement. (people.com)

• Use all name variants (“Erika Frantzve/Kirk”) when searching retailer catalogs, podcast directories, or filings to avoid false negatives.