What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
55
525Ṁ2579
Oct 10
94%
US citizen
93%
Male
88%
Acted alone (no accomplices)
84%
Motivated primarily by political ideology
83%
The shooter killed Charlie Kirk
73%
Resided in the same state as the incident
66%
Posted about Charlie Kirk on social media before the shooting
62%
Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?
60%
Had diagnosed mental illness
60%
Wrote a manifesto before the shooting
46%
Ex-military
44%
Not arrested as of midnight EST 9/14
34%
Age >= 40 (on the day of the shooting)
25%
Shooting was motivated by gun legislation in some way
20%
Was on an FBI watchlist
12%
Had felony conviction previously
12%
Transgender
10%
Was a student at UVU
5%
Has a PhD
4%
Furry

  • Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.

US Politics
Charlie Kirk
Assassinations
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:
bought Ṁ3 NO

how is male defined

@ZaneMiller or in other words,

What is a woman

@ZaneMiller If it turns out to be ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this will resolve to N/A.

bought Ṁ10 NO

People are also trading

Will Charlie Kirk’s assassin be officially termed a foreign asset?
-41% 1d9% chance
Will the Shooter of Charlie Kirk be found? Will he be Liberal?
-10% 1d42% chance
Will Charlie Kirk’s murder used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028?
-30% 1d20% chance
What brand of gun was used to shoot Charlie Kirk?
Was Charlie Kirk's shooter transgender?
-19% 1d12% chance
What was the political lean of the person who shot Charlie Kirk?
Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?
+35% 1d85% chance
Charlie Kirk shooter in custody by Sep 12 (EST)?
-14% 1d43% chance
Was the Charlie Kirk Shooter primarily motivated by Kirk’s stance on Israel?
-30% 1d20% chance
Was Charlie Kirk already dead as of 12:08:17 PM Pacific Time?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy