What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
574
4.6kṀ130k
Oct 10
99.8%
The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders
99.7%
Has a Reddit, Xitter, or Facebook account
99.6%
“Extremely Online” (market owner’s subjective judgment)
99.5%
20-27 years old
99.4%
used a bolt action rifle
99.1%
White
99%
US citizen
99%
Will the shooter of Charlie Kirk be apprehended alive by the end of September?
99%
has at least one sibling
99%
at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)
99%
Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”
99%
had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk
99%
Is named Tyler Robinson
99%
The shooter is a member of domain Eukarya
99%
The shooter is not a extraterrestrial alien
99%
Lives (or has lived) in Utah
99%
Gamer
99%
Native English speaker (L1)
99%
Born in the United States
98.9%
The shooter killed Charlie Kirk

  • Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.

  • Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For Acted alone (no accomplices): any accomplice associated with the shooting counts, including after-the-fact assistance (e.g., destroying evidence). If any such accomplice exists, this answer will not resolve as true.

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@TheAllMemeingEye Is this intended to necessarily stay open for the rest of the shooter's life? Or should this resolve on the market closing date?

@Quroe it's about the rest of his life, but if necessary I'm ok with it being preliminarily resolved early with potential later re-resolution

BBC mentions the furaffinity account!

Hats off to the daily mail's investigative journalists for digging through all that furry porn. Taking one for the team

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 90% order

@121 easiest way to scam pug bot gg

I hate clankers, this pug bot scammer got 50000 every month

The person who posts below me is going to get at least 10 likes because that happens every time I post a controversial opinion

Are we not banning the hard R (after the C word) on this site?

only 7 more likes until the prophecy is fulfilled

the right-wing press are going with it

@Vesperstelo were there not, like, 3 different dudes, or was that just the last one of them and the two first ones were described different?

brother, if you think the furry community is one of the more "controversial" communities on the internet, you ain't seen shit

sold Ṁ3 YES

story is getting traction on some big right-wing accounts

they saying he's into vore as well? 🤣

Elon Musk is gonna retweet this for sure 😂

@loser surely that should be "decipherable" ?

@loser Follow up ping for clarification!

@Marnix Seems more likely after reading the exchange.

@Chumchulum

Does an extremely online 22yo write like this in 2025?

@Dulaman While I personally think its unlikely these were fabricated by FBI/police, I have seen people from both sides claim thry are fake. I do think those look weird, but I think we are dealing with weird people here.

@Xizted I don't think they were fabricated by the police either. I agree it reads really weird; almost like badly written fanfiction.

might be some choreography to give the roommate plausible deniability? But then why mention the bullet engraving?

@Dulaman Yeah, exactly. Obviously if these were fabricated by the FBI/police, it would be easy to disprove in court, but I would assume FBI would otherwise figure out quickly if these were manufactured by the shooter and roommate from timestamps etc. Looking at the document, they seem to be only including some of the messages as there are a lot of ... around. There are those even within messages, so it seems they omitted some of the data.

@Xizted some people do write with random ellipses at the end of sentences

@Dulaman They used those in between messages too, that is why I assumed they are using those to mark omitted content

@Xizted oh right, I was reading it here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c99g1e0z2ero

Might be differently displayed on the original release

There's a whole lot that's strange here. Like he thinks the rifle may have a serial number but that wouldn't be traceable back to him? What?

@Dulaman I looked at it earlier and there is no required gun registration in Utah, and the gun was his grandfathers, so I guess that is why he would assume so. Ironically enough, it sounds like that was what ultimately got him recognized as his mother showed the weapon to his father.

@Dulaman NYT released what I assume is the actual document, and that had ... between some of the messages

sold Ṁ40 YES

@Xizted Utah is a crazy place

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