Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty?
42
1kṀ4346
2035
33%
chance

  • Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.

    • Dying in prison is not receiving the death penalty.

  • Update 2025-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Requires actual execution: Resolves YES only if the killer is put to death via capital punishment (e.g., firing squad, lethal injection). A death sentence without execution does not count.

Crime
Charlie Kirk
Law & Order
Prison Markets
Assassinations
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@NivlacM does he need to receive (initial?) sentence or actually be dead?

@EniSci actual death, capital punishment received. Firing squad, lethal injection, etc

bought Ṁ200 NO

@NivlacM This market is ludicrously high lol.

filled a Ṁ70 YES at 63% order

How does this resolve on them dying in prison, finding Tyler Robinson isn’t actually the killer, etc?

@Magnify well if Tyler Robinson is not Kirk's killer then we wait until we find his killer. Dying in prison is not receiving the death penalty

bought Ṁ10 YES

Related market. Though Mochi's resolves on the prosecutor seeking death penalty, not Charlie Kirk's killer receiving it.

https://manifold.markets/Mochi/charlie-kirk-shooter-faces-death-pe?r=Q2h1bWNodWx1bQ

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