Unemployment measured by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE. 4.1% in Dec 2024. Resolves to YES if unemployment is greater than 4.1% in December 2025.
S&P 500 measured by https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP. 5881.63 on December 31, 2024. Resolves to YES if S&P 500 is less than 5881.63 at December 31, 2025 close.
CPI measured by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=sL9U. 2.89569 in Dec 2024. Resolves to YES if CPI is greater than 2.89569 in Dec 2025.
Dollar measured by US Dollar Index: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NYICDX:INDEXNYSEGIS?window=YTD. 108.48 on December 31, 2024. Resolves to YES if US Dollar Index is less than 108.48 on December 31, 2025.
10 year yield measured by https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y. 4.573 on December 31, 2024. Resolves to YES if 10 year yield is higher than 4.573 on December 31, 2025.
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@MichaeldelaMaza Based on the resolution criteria:
"Unemployment will Increase" should resolve to YES (4.4% in Dec 2025, >4.1%)
"S&P Decline" should resolve to NO (6845 on Dec 31st 2025, >5881.63)
"CPI will Increase" should resolve to NO (2.65330 in Dec 2025, <2.89569)
"Dollar will decrease" should resolve to YES (98.28 on Dec 31st 2025, <108.48)
"10 year note will increase" should resolve to NO (4.163 on Dec 31st 2025, <4.573)
"All five above will be true" should resolve to NO (3/5 resolves to no)
@mods Should resolve to the list on the above comment (Based on the resolution criteria in the market description)
There is s a typo here. It should be greater than. Can you correct it? "Unemployment measured by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE. 4.1% in Dec 2024. Resolves to YES if unemployment is less than 4.1% in December 2025."