Trump will nuke Iran by 8pm EST 10 April 2026
5
Ṁ100Ṁ963Apr 13
1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/is-trump-about-to-nuke-iran
I will not be betting in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will US or Israeli ground forces enter Iranian territory by April 7, 2026?
Will Trump withdraw out of Iran by April 15th, 2026?
14% chance
us nukes Iran in 2026
5% chance
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
21% chance
If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
21% chance
will israel nuke iran by 2027
POLL