RFK jr will take more votes from Biden than from Trump
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ1468
Nov 21
29%
chance

This bet requires that RFK jr gets 5% of the popular vote in the November, 2024 general election.

Provided that RFK jr gets 5% of the vote, this bet:

  • Resolves to YES if exit polling and other information indicates that most of his votes came from Biden.

  • Resolves to NO if exit polling and other information indicates that most of his votes came from Trump.

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Resolves N/A?

I love this question,but I don't know how you can find good data to resolve it fairly.

@FakeMoney Agreed that it will be difficult to find great data, but I hope to find good data: exit polls and other info.

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