RFK jr will take more votes from Biden than from Trump
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.5kresolved Mar 1
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
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ALL
This bet requires that RFK jr gets 5% of the popular vote in the November, 2024 general election.
Provided that RFK jr gets 5% of the vote, this bet:
Resolves to YES if exit polling and other information indicates that most of his votes came from Biden.
Resolves to NO if exit polling and other information indicates that most of his votes came from Trump.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@PaperBoy Would love to resolve this as NA but it doesn't let me: "Negative payouts too large for resolution. Contact admin or mod." Mods have been contacted multiple times in this thread but they have not responded.
@FakeMoney Agreed that it will be difficult to find great data, but I hope to find good data: exit polls and other info.