
GPT-4-Turbo will be behind the best model by at least 100 Arena Elo points on 4/30/24 on the Huggingface Chatbot Board
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Ṁ1313resolved Apr 30
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NO1D
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1M
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https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
Currently (1/16/24) it is in first by over 50 points.
Note that if GPT-4-Turbo is beaten by a successor to GPT-4 (e.g., GPT-5), this resolves to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ftkurt It's a bet, I have no expectation.
Note that Gemini counts as a competitor and it is already (sort of) out.
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