GPT-4-Turbo will be behind the best model by at least 100 Arena Elo points on 4/30/24 on the Huggingface Chatbot Board
5
150Ṁ1313
resolved Apr 30
Resolved
NO

https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard

Currently (1/16/24) it is in first by over 50 points.

Note that if GPT-4-Turbo is beaten by a successor to GPT-4 (e.g., GPT-5), this resolves to YES.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ37
2Ṁ16
3Ṁ9
4Ṁ7
5Ṁ2
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy