Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
China will win and the US will finish second in the 2024 International Math Olympiad
52
Ṁ1kṀ36k
resolved Jul 22
Resolved
NO

Science
Math
Competition Math
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ818
2Ṁ525
3Ṁ211
4Ṁ149
5Ṁ126

People are also trading

Sort by:
bought Ṁ3,500 NO

@mods resolves no

should resolve no

sold Ṁ44 NO

check the new scoreboard usa is winning

bought Ṁ350 NO

Out of the last 10, there were only 3 such.

@patrik Many of those were caused by China not winning. China is quite good again though.

@nathanwei Makes sense. Still seems less likely than 50% based on previous results.

Klee boughtṀ10YES

china

What happens if USA ties for first with China? Can you be more specific?

Exactly 0 teams do strictly better than China, and exactly 1 team (i.e. China) does strictly better than the US?

@nathanwei If USA ties for first with China, this resolves to NO.

People are also trading