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China will win and the US will finish second in the 2024 International Math Olympiad
52
Ṁ1kṀ36k
resolved Jul 22
Resolved
NO

Market context
Competition Math
Math
Science
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bought Ṁ3,500 NO

@mods resolves no

should resolve no

sold Ṁ44 NO

check the new scoreboard usa is winning

bought Ṁ350 NO

Out of the last 10, there were only 3 such.

@patrik Many of those were caused by China not winning. China is quite good again though.

@nathanwei Makes sense. Still seems less likely than 50% based on previous results.

Klee boughtṀ10YES

china

What happens if USA ties for first with China? Can you be more specific?

Exactly 0 teams do strictly better than China, and exactly 1 team (i.e. China) does strictly better than the US?

@nathanwei If USA ties for first with China, this resolves to NO.

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