What percentage of sought-after works will be discovered in the Herculaneum Library?
5
28
αΉ€180
2028
36%
chance

When the library is fully excavated, I will resolve this to the average percentage across options in the following multichoice market:

I will only average the scores of specific named works. I will use my judgement to exclude any options I think were submitted for the purposes of manipulating this market, and due to that subjectivity will not be trading in this market.

Get αΉ€200 play money
Sort by:

This is a great question, Michael! I think we may discover a new significant philosopher lost to history, or perhaps that Plato or Socrates are in fact composites of several individuals rather than a single person.