What works will be discovered in the Herculaneum library? (Vesuvius Challenge)

Question

Wishlist for works recovered from the Herculaneum papyrus scrolls. (Vesuvius Challenge)

Resolves to 50% if only fragments are recovered. I'm rounding up to 100% if 90% of a work is recovered.

See also this linked market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/MichaelWheatley/what-percentage-of-soughtafter-work)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Any (New) Complete Poem from Sappho, followed by Augustus's Autobiography and Any New Prose Work from Aristotle are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Jan 8, 2026).