Which open source LLM will be the top performing open source LLM by July 1, 2024?
30
1kแน3464resolved Jul 7
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%90%
Other
7%
llama
3%
Mistral
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน286 | |
| 2 | แน46 | |
| 3 | แน28 | |
| 4 | แน26 | |
| 5 | แน21 |
People are also trading
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?
77% chance
What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? ๐ค๐
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
What organization will have the top OPEN model on the Text leaderboard on LMArena at end of 2025?
Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?
17% chance
๐ง Which LLM will have the most real-world commercial usage by the end of 2025?
Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
59% chance
When will a non-Transformer model become the top open source LLM?
Sort by:
@MichaelLomuscio So what happens if meta release a new model that is an upgrade of llama2 but not called llama3, like some other animal name?
@HanchiSun I suppose it depends on whether it is truly something new that represents a new model and approach or just the same model with some advancements.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?
77% chance
What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? ๐ค๐
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
What organization will have the top OPEN model on the Text leaderboard on LMArena at end of 2025?
Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?
17% chance
๐ง Which LLM will have the most real-world commercial usage by the end of 2025?
Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
59% chance
When will a non-Transformer model become the top open source LLM?