How much did the 2025/06/21 US strikes on Iran delay the Iran nuclear program?
1
1kṀ50resolved Jun 22
ResolvedN/A
21%
>3 months
21%
>6 months
21%
>1 year
21%
>2 years
18%
>5 years
On June 21, 2025, the United States completed air strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran: Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan.
While the US claims the sites were completely destroyed, Iran claims impact was minimal. This question asks: how many more months away from a nuclear weapon is the Islamic Republic?
This question will resolve using estimates produced by international governing bodies, such as the IAEA. These estimates may not be available soon, and the question will extend until a firm estimate is produced by an international agency.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?
75% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
57% chance
US bombs Iran in July 2025?
62% chance
Will the U.S. deploy a tactical nuclear weapon against Iran’s nuclear facility before January 2026?
5% chance
Will Israel conduct an attack that significantly degrades Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility before January 2026?
20% chance
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
19% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
8% chance
Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?
31% chance
Will Iran test a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
6% chance