How much did the 2025/06/21 US strikes on Iran delay the Iran nuclear program?
1
1kṀ50
resolved Jun 22
ResolvedN/A
21%
>3 months
21%
>6 months
21%
>1 year
21%
>2 years
18%
>5 years

On June 21, 2025, the United States completed air strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran: Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan.

While the US claims the sites were completely destroyed, Iran claims impact was minimal. This question asks: how many more months away from a nuclear weapon is the Islamic Republic?

This question will resolve using estimates produced by international governing bodies, such as the IAEA. These estimates may not be available soon, and the question will extend until a firm estimate is produced by an international agency.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy