Will European voters keep turning rightward during 2024?
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13
Ṁ345
Dec 31
89%
chance

If there are more European countries with right-leaning ruling parties at the end of 2024 than at the end of 2023, the poll gets resolved.

In this poll, “ruling party” is defined as the largest party in their country’s parliament, or the largest party in a multi-party coalition. A party is right-leaning if it identifies itself that way.

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bought Ṁ25 NO

To clarify, is the UK part of Europe?

How will you resolve this? Your own subjective opinion? News articles?

predicts YES

@marktwse Thank you for your comment, I added the clearance condition in the description.

@MichVer Does this really answer the question? Who determines what a right wing party is? What about right wing parties in coalition agreements?

Maybe use their European affiliations as a good proxy?
For example in the European Council: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Council#Political_alliances

predicts YES

@SamBogerd Thank you for your comment. I added this to the description for clarification:

In this poll, “ruling party” is defined as the largest party in their country’s parliament, or the largest party in a multi-party coalition. A party is right-leaning if it identifies itself that way.

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