
Will European voters keep turning rightward during 2024?
13
1kṀ345Dec 31
89%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there are more European countries with right-leaning ruling parties at the end of 2024 than at the end of 2023, the poll gets resolved.
In this poll, “ruling party” is defined as the largest party in their country’s parliament, or the largest party in a multi-party coalition. A party is right-leaning if it identifies itself that way.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?
Who/what will have done a "right wing pivot" before 2027?
Did Australian voters perceive the Liberal Party as more right-wing in 2025 than they did in 2022?
45% chance
By 2030, will 20% of voters identify as longtermists?
4% chance
By 2030, will 50% of voters identify as longtermists?
3% chance
If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
66% chance
Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
10% chance