Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024?
42
Ṁ620Ṁ6.9kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ204 | |
| 2 | Ṁ151 | |
| 3 | Ṁ71 | |
| 4 | Ṁ59 | |
| 5 | Ṁ58 |
Sort by:
@DouglasCampbell Seems to me like, while Ukraine has the upper hand militarily, the defender usually has the advantage. While it's very possible Ukraine breaks through the Russian lines and takes Melitopol, it can't be the most likely scenario for me. It's a difficult task.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
12% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
52% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
5% chance
Which regions will Ukraine claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?
24% chance
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
10% chance