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Jan 1, 2025Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025?
22%
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Why isn't Manifold reacting to the Metaculus shift?
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Not taking the CEO role distances Musk from the content allowed on Twitter. Distancing himself from the content allowed on Twitter would serve Tesla's extensive involvement in China. (https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/29/technology/elon-musk-china-tesla.html) And I think it is very likely that Musk realizes this.
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Even if he take Twitter private, which looks likely, I suspect he will appoint someone that isn't himself as CEO.
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Guys... 2025. We have a solid 2.5 years left.
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That he's (leading an offer to purchase) Twitter doesn't make him CEO! He'd need to get the board to make him so.
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@jbeshir Once private he can fire the board and appoint his own directors. This would effectively make him Executive Chairman and I see nothing stopping him from appointing himself CEO.
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@BrianEdwards At the time I made this buy+comment, the market was at 92%. He can absolutely become CEO if he wants, there was (and is) more uncertainty than that, in my view, about whether he would in fact want to.
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(I sold those shares and bought YES at current odds for a profit later)
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