Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025?
29%
chance
Jan 1, 2025
M$1,772 bet
EnopoletusHarding

Enopoletus Harding is betting YES at 24% 20 days ago

Why isn't Manifold reacting to the Metaculus shift?
MusterTheSquirrels

MusterTheSquirrels bought M$50 of NO24 days ago

Not taking the CEO role distances Musk from the content allowed on Twitter. Distancing himself from the content allowed on Twitter would serve Tesla's extensive involvement in China. (https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/29/technology/elon-musk-china-tesla.html) And I think it is very likely that Musk realizes this.
DavidChee

SirSalty bought M$20 of NO25 days ago

Even if he take Twitter private, which looks likely, I suspect he will appoint someone that isn't himself as CEO.
EnopoletusHarding

Enopoletus Harding is betting YES at 24% a month ago

Guys... 2025. We have a solid 2.5 years left.
jbeshir

John Beshir bought M$10 of NOa month ago

That he's (leading an offer to purchase) Twitter doesn't make him CEO! He'd need to get the board to make him so.
BTE

BTE is betting YES at 43% 11 days ago

@jbeshir Once private he can fire the board and appoint his own directors. This would effectively make him Executive Chairman and I see nothing stopping him from appointing himself CEO.
jbeshir

John Beshir is betting YES at 51% 11 days ago

@BrianEdwards At the time I made this buy+comment, the market was at 92%. He can absolutely become CEO if he wants, there was (and is) more uncertainty than that, in my view, about whether he would in fact want to.
jbeshir

John Beshir is betting YES at 51% 11 days ago

(I sold those shares and bought YES at current odds for a profit later)
EnopoletusHarding

Enopoletus Harding bought M$42 of YESa month ago

Free money.