Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?
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From https://metaculus.com/questions/15778/trump-guilty-in-manhattan-by-election-day/
On March 30, 2023, Donald Trump, the 45th president of the United States, was charged with 34 felony counts associated with falsifying business records. The indictments by a Manhattan grand jury stem from his alleged role in hush money payments to actress Stormy Daniels during the 2016 presidential election. With the indictment, Trump became the first president - former or current - charged with criminal activity. On April 4th he pleaded not-guilty.
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