This resolves yes iff any criminal case against Trump in the US is resolved before Election Day 2024 in any of the following ways: a guilty verdict (whether by jury or bench trial); a guilty plea; or a plea of no contest or nolo contendere.*

*To achieve finality, this will resolve yes 24 hours after the first guilty verdict is reached and entered. If, within that day, the guilty verdict is reversed in effect, such as through a post-verdict judgment of acquittal or reversal on appeal, it will not count as a guilty plea or verdict. Otherwise, it will count as a guilty plea or verdict, even if there is active litigation around the plea or verdict 24 hours after the verdict. 