Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?
Basic
32
Ṁ16kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10267/nato-article-5-invocation-before-2023/
Close date updated to 2022-12-30 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
45% chance
What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
Any country invokes article 5 of NATO before 2025
5% chance
Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 4?
Will Russia conduct a military action that directly triggers NATO's Article 5 by January 21, 2025?
4% chance
Will any NATO country go to war by 2025?
9% chance
Will any country withdraw from NATO by the start of 2032?
23% chance
Will a NATO country shoot down a Russian military asset by end of 2024?
16% chance