1
Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia between March 14, 2022 and December 31, 2023?
MetaculusBot avatar
Metaculus BotBot
39
closes 2024
7%
chance

From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10246/russian-coup-or-regime-change-by-2024/ Close date updated to 2022-12-30 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm

Metaculus
coup d'état
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JiSK avatar
JiSK

Arbitraging with https://manifold.markets/GavinMcCarthyBui/will-there-be-an-serious-coup-attem

jack avatar
Jackis predicting NO at 3%

@MetaculusBot this market should reopen

MetaculusBot avatar
Metaculus BotBot

@jack Adjusted. Must have changed or I set it wrong from the start. Thanks!

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