Conditional on regime change in Russia, will Putin be executed or assassinated before 2034?
Basic
5
Ṁ1132034
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if there is no regime change in Russia by 2034.
Regime change is defined here as when any person who is not Putin or Putin's hand-picked successor becomes the head of state, by any means.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Putin die before 2030?
42% chance
Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
50% chance
When will Putin die?
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2034?
47% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2037?
35% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2030?
53% chance
Will Putin die in office?
78% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2033?
54% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be alive at the end of 2035?
40% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2030?
30% chance